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How to Win an Oscar (If You Misunderstand Statistics)

Even in Hollywood, correlation does not equal causation

Cody Steele
Tue, 03/12/2013 - 10:56
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Statistician to the Stars William Briggs deserves credit for his correct prediction of the Best Picture Oscar the day before the ceremonies this year. Although Briggs would never encourage anyone to misuse his model this way, I feel my statistics heartstrings strummed by the desire to remind everyone about a particularly common and dangerous statistical mistake: Correlation does not equal causation.

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