Break the Curve and Keep It Broken

We need to reduce Covid-19’s basic reproduction number to less than 1 to break, rather than flatten, the curve

Tue, 04/28/2020 - 12:03

The phrase “flatten the curve” means to slow the transmission of the coronavirus (Covid-19) in order to spread the total number of cases out over a longer period of time. This will avoid overwhelming the healthcare system.1 The model is accurate as presented throughout the internet, but it also overlooks terrible dangers and enormous opportunities.

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Comments

Submitted by DonFWilson on Thu, 04/30/2020 - 13:56

Excellent Aticle! The readability and overall interest would probably be better if some of the non-technical information (e.g. effects of vaccination, NPIs, Prevention) was more upfront and the tehnical formulas followed. Even as a chemical engineer, I had to rethink some of the terms and symbols used. Some of the nontechnical information would be great for governors to use in daily briefings to explain their decisions. Our governor in Colorado would appreciate it. The addition of downloadable software was also valuable. 

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